Kemal Yaylali 197975cc42 feat(ml): train a real model, and report the number that matters rather than the flattering one
"Variants are unscored" was accurate: nothing was ever trained, so a quarter of every rank was
dead weight and the UI leaked a connection error at the reader.

- scripts/make-training-set.sh derives a training table from ClinVar directly. ClinVar already
  carries the molecular consequence, the gene and an allele frequency, which is the feature set
  serving sends, so this avoids running VEP over hundreds of thousands of variants. 2-star
  records only.
- train.py now holds out whole genes (GroupShuffleSplit). docs/data.md had said to do this since
  the data pass; the code was still doing a random split, which is the leak Grimm 2015 describes.
- evaluate() reports missense on its own. On the last run: AUROC 0.986 over 74,239 held-out
  variants, but 0.872 over the 13,553 missense ones, and the docs say plainly why even that is
  flattered — within missense the only live feature is allele frequency, and ClinVar's benign
  calls often use allele frequency as evidence (ACMG BA1/BS1), so the feature partly caused the
  label.
- the 503 now names what is missing (model@alias via tracking URI) and leaves the exception in
  the server log instead of the UI.
- make training-set / make train; the 58 MB table is gitignored.

Verified end to end: model registered as v2, the simulated NF2 case scores 0.999 on the planted
variant, and it now ranks 1.00 with all four components live.

Tests: api 77, ml 22, loader 16, web 32; ruff, mypy, svelte-check clean.
2026-09-12 09:13:54 +01:00

rarelens

A small, end-to-end variant interpretation platform for rare genetic disease research. A case is a proband: a VCF plus the patient's phenotype (HPO terms). A Nextflow workflow annotates the variants with Ensembl VEP, a model scores each one, and the app narrows thousands of variants to a handful of candidates ranked against that phenotype — each carrying the evidence for its rank, and each able to be shortlisted or dismissed with a reason that ends up in a case report.

This repository is a self-training lab. It exists so that one engineer can learn, in public, how a modern life-sciences platform is built end to end: full-stack application, scientific pipeline, ML serving, and cloud infrastructure, all in one monorepo. It is not a clinical tool and makes no diagnostic claims.

What is in the box

Layer Technology Directory
Pipeline Nextflow DSL2, bcftools, Ensembl VEP, Docker, Google Batch pipeline/
API FastAPI, Pydantic v2, SQLAlchemy 2.0 (async), Alembic api/
Database PostgreSQL 16 docker-compose.yml
Frontend SvelteKit, TypeScript web/
ML LightGBM pathogenicity scorer, MLflow registry ml/
Orchestration Argo Workflows + Argo Events (pipeline), Pub/Sub (events) infra/argo-workflows/
Platform Kubernetes (Kustomize), ArgoCD (GitOps) infra/k8s/, infra/argocd/
Cloud GCP: GKE Autopilot, Cloud SQL, GCS, Batch, Secret Manager, Artifact Registry infra/terraform/
CI/CD GitHub Actions, Workload Identity Federation .github/workflows/

Quick start (local)

make up          # postgres + api + web + mlflow via docker-compose
make migrate     # alembic upgrade head
make hpo         # HPO gene-to-phenotype annotations: what the ranking matches against
make demo-case   # a simulated proband: GIAB background + one ClinVar pathogenic variant
make test        # api, ml, loader and web tests (no Docker needed for the DB tests)

Then open http://localhost:5173, create a case pointing at data/proband-simulated.vcf.gz, give it the phenotype of the planted disease (for the default NF2 case: bilateral vestibular schwannoma, sensorineural hearing impairment, tinnitus, meningioma, cataract), and analyse it. The planted variant should come back ranked first.

The docker-compose API has no Nextflow, so "Run VEP annotation" marks the job failed with the command to run instead. With Nextflow and Docker on the host, a VEP cache in pipeline/cache/vep and a VCF under data/ (see data/README.md):

make annotate JOB=<job id from the UI> VCF=data/example.vcf.gz
make pipeline VCF=data/example.vcf.gz   # dry run: annotate without touching the database

No cache? VEP_DATABASE=true queries Ensembl's public database instead. It is slow per variant and returns fewer fields, but it needs no 25 GB download, which is enough to demonstrate the pipeline on a handful of variants:

VEP_DATABASE=true make pipeline VCF=pipeline/tests/data/tiny.vcf

To make the UI's "Run VEP annotation" button work, run the API on the host (where Nextflow and Docker are) rather than in docker-compose:

docker compose up -d db
cd api && DATABASE_URL=postgresql+asyncpg://rarelens:rarelens@localhost:5432/rarelens \
  PIPELINE_DATABASE_URL=postgresql+asyncpg://rarelens:[email protected]:5432/rarelens \
  LOCAL_DATA_ROOT=$PWD/.. VEP_DATABASE=true \
  uv run --extra dev uvicorn app.main:app --port 8000

PIPELINE_DATABASE_URL is what the loader container gets: inside it, the API's own localhost would be the container itself. LOCAL_DATA_ROOT is the directory a sample's vcf_uri must sit under.

To train and register a model (the API scores with models:/rarelens-pathogenicity@production):

make training-set   # a ClinVar-derived training table, ~370k labelled variants
make train          # fits, reports held-out metrics by gene split, moves the production alias

What those metrics do and do not mean is in docs/data.md; the headline AUROC flatters a model whose strongest feature is the consequence class.

Local Kubernetes: make kind builds the images, loads them into a kind cluster and applies infra/k8s/overlays/local.

Deploying to GCP

Two tracks, same code. The serverless one is the default because it costs about £1/month idle; docs/cloud.md has the numbers.

Serverless (Cloud Run + Google Batch). The API and the UI scale to zero, and the Nextflow driver runs as a Cloud Run job only while a pipeline is running.

cd infra/terraform
terraform init -backend-config="bucket=<tfstate bucket>"
export TF_VAR_database_url='postgresql+asyncpg://user:pass@host/db?sslmode=require'  # e.g. Neon's free tier
terraform apply -var project=<project id>          # add -var deploy_cloud_sql=true to use Cloud SQL instead
cd ../.. && make serverless-deploy PROJECT=<project id> TAG=<commit sha>   # redeploy a new build

terraform output web_url is the URL to share; it serves the UI and proxies /api to the API, so there is one public address and no CORS. Upload the VEP cache to gs://<project>-rarelens-data/refs/vep before running a real annotation, and set -var model_uri=gs://<project>-rarelens-data/models/pathogenicity/1 to score without running an MLflow server. Set a billing budget first — the demo has no authentication.

Kubernetes (GKE + Argo + ArgoCD). Off by default; turn it on to demonstrate the GitOps path, then destroy it.

terraform apply -var project=<project id> -var deploy_kubernetes=true -var deploy_cloud_sql=true
make gcp-configure PROJECT=<project id>   # once; commit the result
make gcp-secrets PROJECT=<project id>

Then install Argo Workflows, Argo Events and ArgoCD, and kubectl apply -f infra/argocd/app.yaml. Every green CI run on main bumps image tags in the gcp overlay and ArgoCD deploys them. make serverless-destroy PROJECT=<project id> tears everything down.

Data

The demo runs on published, openly licensed human data: the NIST Genome in a Bottle HG002 benchmark genome as the sample, ClinVar for labels, gnomAD for allele frequencies. Sources, licences, citations and how the model should be evaluated honestly are in docs/data.md.

Architecture

See docs/architecture.md for the diagram and the reasoning behind each choice, and docs/cloud.md for why this deploys to Google Cloud rather than AWS.

Status

Work in progress. Milestones, in order:

  1. Skeleton, Postgres, FastAPI, Nextflow VEP annotation on a public VCF, CI green
  2. SvelteKit UI: sample list, variant table with filters, job status
  3. Kubernetes manifests, kind, Argo Workflows trigger
  4. Terraform for GCP, ArgoCD GitOps deploy
  5. Pathogenicity model, MLflow registry, prediction endpoint

Licence

AGPL-3.0. Test data are public (ClinVar, gnomAD subsets); no patient data are used or accepted.

S
Description
End-to-end variant interpretation platform for rare genetic disease research. Public test data only; no clinical claims. AGPL-3.0.
Readme AGPL-3.0
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