Files
rarelens/scripts/load-hpo.py
Kemal Yaylali e76ae847a1 fix(science): stop scoring evidence that was never looked up
A review of the ranking's arithmetic found four things wrong, all of which
made the score look better informed than it was. Measurements below are from
this repo, not estimates.

**Components now abstain instead of inventing a number.** A run without a VEP
cache returns no allele frequencies, and rarity_score(None) read that as
"absent from gnomAD, therefore maximally rare" and awarded every variant a
free 0.25. jobs.has_frequencies / has_effect_scores record what the run
actually produced, absent components are dropped from the weighted mean, and
the remaining weights are renormalised so the score keeps its meaning. The UI
shows "not looked up" rather than a bar, and the funnel stops calling a step
"rare" when nothing was filtered.

**Allele frequency is no longer a model feature.** It dominated: the same
missense variant scored 0.887 at AF 0 and 0.0003 at AF 0.01. That double-
counted, because the ranking already scores frequency explicitly, putting
~45% of every rank on one measurement; and it was circular, because ACMG
assigns ClinVar's benign labels using frequency (BA1/BS1). Retraining without
it moves missense AUROC from 0.872 to 0.500 — exactly random. The old figure
was allele frequency, not variant-effect knowledge. The model therefore
abstains unless CADD or AlphaMissense is present, since otherwise it only
restates the consequence class.

**Phenotype matching is weighted by information content** and HPO annotations
are propagated up the ontology. Counting terms alike let "global
developmental delay" (IC 0.93) count as much as "dilated left subclavian
artery" (IC 7.88).

**A real bug in the propagation, found by checking it.** The ancestor walk
read a pre-order DFS backwards, which on a DAG lets a term resolve before one
of its parents and inherit that parent alone instead of its lineage. It
dropped 399 terms out of the phenotype branch, Camptodactyly and Chiari
malformation among them. Now a true post-order, tested against a reference
transitive closure.

The ontology arithmetic moved to rarelens_ml.hpo so it is covered by tests,
and rarelens_ml.benchmark measures the whole thing: across 10,178 published
cases the causal gene ranks first 45.9-81.0% of the time against 5,269 genes,
versus 0.02% for chance. docs/data.md reports that with its contamination
(HPO's annotations come from these same case reports), and includes the
measurement showing information-content weighting earns its place while
propagation does not - kept anyway, for a reason the docs argue rather than
assume.
2026-09-12 11:32:46 +01:00

88 lines
3.4 KiB
Python
Executable File

#!/usr/bin/env python3
"""Load HPO into the gene_phenotypes and hpo_terms tables: the reference data the ranking uses.
Two source files:
https://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/hp/hpoa/genes_to_phenotype.txt (gene -> term, ~20 MB)
https://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/hp.obo (the ontology itself, ~10 MB)
The ontology matters because HPO's gene annotations are direct, and a patient may be described one
level away from whichever term the curator chose. `rarelens_ml.hpo` holds the propagation and
information-content arithmetic, with the tests, since it is what the phenotype half of the ranking
rests on. Run through the ml environment, which is where that package lives: `make hpo`.
Cite the Human Phenotype Ontology when showing results; see docs/data.md.
"""
import argparse
import csv
import io
import os
import sys
import urllib.request
from rarelens_ml.hpo import ancestors_of, information_content, parse_obo, propagate
from sqlalchemy import create_engine, text
from sqlalchemy.engine import make_url
GENES_URL = "https://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/hp/hpoa/genes_to_phenotype.txt"
OBO_URL = "https://purl.obolibrary.org/obo/hp.obo"
def fetch(url: str) -> io.TextIOBase:
print(f"downloading {url}", file=sys.stderr)
return io.TextIOWrapper(urllib.request.urlopen(url), encoding="utf-8")
def annotations(handle: io.TextIOBase) -> set[tuple[str, str]]:
"""Unique (gene, term) pairs; the file repeats them once per associated disease."""
return {
(row["gene_symbol"][:60], row["hpo_id"][:20])
for row in csv.DictReader(handle, delimiter="\t")
if row.get("gene_symbol") and row.get("hpo_id")
}
def main() -> None:
p = argparse.ArgumentParser()
p.add_argument("--url", default=GENES_URL)
p.add_argument("--obo", default=OBO_URL)
p.add_argument("--file", help="use a local genes_to_phenotype.txt instead of downloading")
p.add_argument("--obo-file", help="use a local hp.obo instead of downloading")
a = p.parse_args()
url = os.environ.get("DATABASE_URL")
if not url:
sys.exit("DATABASE_URL is not set")
with (open(a.obo_file) if a.obo_file else fetch(a.obo)) as handle:
parents, names = parse_obo(handle)
ancestors = ancestors_of(parents)
with (open(a.file) if a.file else fetch(a.url)) as handle:
direct = annotations(handle)
genes = propagate(direct, ancestors)
ic = information_content(genes)
rows = [(gene, term, names.get(term, term)) for gene, terms in genes.items() for term in terms]
print(
f"{len(direct)} direct annotations over {len(genes)} genes -> {len(rows)} after "
f"propagation; {len(ic)} terms with information content",
file=sys.stderr,
)
engine = create_engine(make_url(url).set(drivername="postgresql+psycopg"))
with engine.begin() as conn:
conn.execute(text("TRUNCATE gene_phenotypes RESTART IDENTITY"))
conn.execute(text("TRUNCATE hpo_terms"))
cursor = conn.connection.cursor()
with cursor.copy("COPY gene_phenotypes (gene_symbol, hpo_id, hpo_name) FROM STDIN") as copy:
for row in rows:
copy.write_row(row)
with cursor.copy("COPY hpo_terms (hpo_id, name, ic) FROM STDIN") as copy:
for term, value in ic.items():
copy.write_row((term, names.get(term, term), value))
print(f"loaded {len(rows)} annotations and {len(ic)} terms", file=sys.stderr)
if __name__ == "__main__":
main()