Commit Graph
3 Commits
Author SHA1 Message Date
Kemal Yaylali e76ae847a1 fix(science): stop scoring evidence that was never looked up
A review of the ranking's arithmetic found four things wrong, all of which
made the score look better informed than it was. Measurements below are from
this repo, not estimates.

**Components now abstain instead of inventing a number.** A run without a VEP
cache returns no allele frequencies, and rarity_score(None) read that as
"absent from gnomAD, therefore maximally rare" and awarded every variant a
free 0.25. jobs.has_frequencies / has_effect_scores record what the run
actually produced, absent components are dropped from the weighted mean, and
the remaining weights are renormalised so the score keeps its meaning. The UI
shows "not looked up" rather than a bar, and the funnel stops calling a step
"rare" when nothing was filtered.

**Allele frequency is no longer a model feature.** It dominated: the same
missense variant scored 0.887 at AF 0 and 0.0003 at AF 0.01. That double-
counted, because the ranking already scores frequency explicitly, putting
~45% of every rank on one measurement; and it was circular, because ACMG
assigns ClinVar's benign labels using frequency (BA1/BS1). Retraining without
it moves missense AUROC from 0.872 to 0.500 — exactly random. The old figure
was allele frequency, not variant-effect knowledge. The model therefore
abstains unless CADD or AlphaMissense is present, since otherwise it only
restates the consequence class.

**Phenotype matching is weighted by information content** and HPO annotations
are propagated up the ontology. Counting terms alike let "global
developmental delay" (IC 0.93) count as much as "dilated left subclavian
artery" (IC 7.88).

**A real bug in the propagation, found by checking it.** The ancestor walk
read a pre-order DFS backwards, which on a DAG lets a term resolve before one
of its parents and inherit that parent alone instead of its lineage. It
dropped 399 terms out of the phenotype branch, Camptodactyly and Chiari
malformation among them. Now a true post-order, tested against a reference
transitive closure.

The ontology arithmetic moved to rarelens_ml.hpo so it is covered by tests,
and rarelens_ml.benchmark measures the whole thing: across 10,178 published
cases the causal gene ranks first 45.9-81.0% of the time against 5,269 genes,
versus 0.02% for chance. docs/data.md reports that with its contamination
(HPO's annotations come from these same case reports), and includes the
measurement showing information-content weighting earns its place while
propagation does not - kept anyway, for a reason the docs argue rather than
assume.
2026-09-12 11:32:46 +01:00
Kemal Yaylali 11fb6b3d73 fix: overhaul the platform skeleton, add a serverless deployment track
An end-to-end audit found the repo could not build, test or run as shipped. This
fixes every finding, then adds a Cloud Run track so the demo costs about £1/month
idle instead of ~£150.

CI (red on its first run)
- api: setuptools could not build the package (flat layout with app/ and alembic/)
- web: missing @types/node; `vitest run` exited 1 with no test files
- pipeline: the stub run needed a gitignored VCF, and no process had a stub block
- ruff pinned, mypy configured, DB tests on real Postgres (pgserver locally, service in CI)

ML serving (scores were meaningless)
- the registered model now carries its own feature engineering and returns predict_proba,
  so serving sends raw columns and cannot drift from training
- resolve by registry alias (stages are deprecated in MLflow 3) and record the real
  version; re-scoring upserts instead of failing on the unique constraint
- ClinVar labels parsed from VEP's lowercase terms

Pipeline
- exact ref/alt recovered from a CHROM_POS_REF_ALT VCF ID; loading is idempotent
- job status reaches running/failed/succeeded, so the UI stops polling dead jobs
- DATABASE_URL travels in the environment or a Nextflow secret, never on a command line
- VEP cache and plugins staged as inputs; the gcp profile runs tasks on Google Batch

Deployment
- the API serves /api (matching the ingress); the web app reads its API URL at runtime
- migrations run in an init container under a Postgres advisory lock
- terraform: custom VPC shared with Batch, private Cloud SQL, API enablement, Workload
  Identity bindings, Secret Manager, deletion protection
- serverless track, now the default: Cloud Run services scaling to zero, a Cloud Run job
  for the Nextflow driver, and Neon or Cloud SQL behind one DATABASE_URL secret. GKE and
  Argo remain, behind -var deploy_kubernetes=true. See docs/cloud.md.

Correctness and security
- 409 on duplicate sample names, 422 on bad paging, natural chromosome ordering, wider
  VEP text columns, enum dropped on downgrade, the sample's assembly actually used
- vcf_uri restricted to gs:// objects or files under the data root, blocking option injection
- CORS restricted to configured origins; `make down` no longer deletes volumes

Data
- docs/data.md records the peer-reviewed, openly licensed sources (GIAB HG002, ClinVar,
  gnomAD) with citations and an honest evaluation plan; `make data` fetches a chr22 slice

Verified: api 50 tests, ml 18, loader 16, web 12; ruff, mypy, svelte-check, terraform
validate and both kustomize overlays clean.
2026-09-12 07:21:11 +01:00
kemal 5463f489a3 Initial release: rarelens platform skeleton (AGPL-3.0)
ci / api (push) Failing after 10s
ci / terraform (push) Failing after 11s
ci / web (push) Failing after 35s
ci / pipeline (push) Failing after 2m29s
ci / images (api) (push) Skipped
ci / images (ml) (push) Skipped
ci / images (pipeline) (push) Skipped
ci / images (web) (push) Skipped
End-to-end variant interpretation platform for rare genetic disease research:
SvelteKit UI, FastAPI + PostgreSQL API, Nextflow/Ensembl VEP pipeline,
LightGBM pathogenicity scoring with MLflow, K8s/ArgoCD/GCP infrastructure.
Public test data only; no clinical claims.
2026-09-11 16:55:35 +01:00