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kemal
bb9f0a588f
New Stats for Nerds tab over a new read-only /api/nerd endpoint: Kalman NIS
and covariance per signal, both compensators, all 18 RLS heads with trace(P)
against the cap, |theta|, EWMA RMSE, conformal alpha against target, realised
coverage and ensemble weights, plus per-head feature attribution over the 33
standardised weights, the Mahalanobis and Page-Hinkley detector state,
climatology harmonics and precipitation coefficients.
Methods overhaul: KaTeX now renders the equations. They were previously passed
through .replace(/[{}\\]/g,' '), which stripped every brace and backslash and
turned real mathematics into mush. Stages 2, 3, 5, 6 and 7 gained full
derivations (RLS normal equations and the trace cap, Joseph-form Kalman with
NIS, adaptive conformal with its coverage limit, ridge harmonic regression with
anomaly decay) and a per-symbol legend rendered inline.
Conditions ahead gains weather icons chosen from measured cloud index, solar
elevation and temperature rather than the barometric class alone, so a fine
barometer under overcast draws a cloud and after sunset draws a moon. Snow is
selected on temperature.
Seven day outlook moves to the top of Live, directly under the nav. Tab renamed
Models and Calibration.
Verified in Chromium at 1600x900: Live, History, Models and Nerd all report
zero scrollbars, zero clipping, no page scroll, zero console errors. Methods
keeps its documented prose scroller. Backtest numerically unchanged.
484 B
484 B
name, about, labels
| name | about | labels |
|---|---|---|
| Forecast quality | The models are producing poor or strange forecasts | forecasting |
What looks wrong
Output of python scripts/evaluate.py
Scorecard from the Models and Calibration tab (or GET /api/scorecard)
How long has the station been logging? (history_days from /api/status)
Is it indoors? And is site.altitude_m set correctly in your config?
These two account for most reported forecast oddities.