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1.8 KiB
1.8 KiB
Changelog
All notable changes to this project are documented here. Format follows Keep a Changelog; versioning follows Semantic Versioning.
[1.0.0] - 2026-08-15
First public release.
Added
- Multi-horizon forecasting: 18 direct heads (3 targets x 6 horizons) using exponentially weighted recursive least squares with a capped covariance trace.
- Hedge-blended ensemble over persistence, climatology and the learned model, so the system can conclude that the learned model is not worth using.
- Adaptive conformal prediction intervals with coverage feedback.
- Constant-velocity Kalman bank (Joseph form) for level and rate estimation.
- Grey-box CPU self-heating compensation with an RLS-estimated coefficient, calibrated from a single trusted thermometer reading.
- Harmonic climatology with anomaly decay for a 7-day outlook, with annual terms gated behind 120 days of history.
- Precipitation model: Zambretti barometric prior plus an online logistic residual learner with human-in-the-loop labelling.
- Monitoring: Mahalanobis EWMA novelty, Page-Hinkley drift detection that triggers retraining, and stuck-sensor detection.
- Verification loop scoring every matured forecast against persistence and climatology, surfaced as a public scorecard.
- Tiered storage: raw to 5-minute to hourly downsampling, roughly 30 MB per year.
- Arbitrary-range history queries, per-day summaries, all-time records and streamed CSV export.
- Five-tab dashboard sized to a single viewport, with a Methods tab generated from the live configuration.
- LED matrix driver with pressure-trend arrows, rain bars and alert pulses.
- Physics-based simulator fallback so the suite runs without a Sense HAT.
- Backfill and walk-forward backtest scripts.