Seven day outlook
climatology plus decaying anomaly, not a synoptic forecast
Observed and forecast
90% bandConditions ahead
Zambretti prior + online logistic
The only signal that sees past your walls. Its slope drives the forecast.
Records
Verification scorecard
skill above zero means it beats persistence · p/c/l is the ensemble weight
No matured forecasts yet. Rows appear as each horizon reaches its validity time: 15 minutes first, 24 hours tomorrow.
Temperature
self-heatingHumidity
element biasEstimator
Storage and weights
Station log
Kalman bank
NIS near 1 means honestly tunedCompensators
Learner bank
18 independent RLS headsFeature attribution
largest |θ| after standardisation, so these are comparable
Detectors
Climatology
Precipitation
Reliability
realised coverage against the 90% nominalHow it is wired
select a stage to read its rationale